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Essendon Royals W vs Avondale FC W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between Essendon Royals W and Avondale FC W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essendon Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Essendon Royals W
11%
Draws
80%
Avondale FC W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Avondale FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Essendon Royals W come out ahead of Avondale FC W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Avondale FC W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 10%
Avondale FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals W Avondale FC W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 15 14
Draws 2 2
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 3.13 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Avondale FC W vs Essendon Royals W
4:2
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Avondale FC W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals W 10 / 100
Avondale FC W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals W Avondale FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AVO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals W's goal record stands at 95% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Avondale FC W let in goals in 64% of their last 22 matches.

Essendon Royals W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals W VS Avondale FC W
3.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals W

(Home)
25 Jul
Essendon Royals W
6 : 0
Melbourne Victory U20 W
18 Jul
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 3
Essendon Royals W
11 Jul
Essendon Royals W
3 : 0
Keilor Park W
04 Jul
Avondale FC W
4 : 2
Essendon Royals W
27 Jun
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
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Avondale FC W

(Away)
25 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
0 : 4
Avondale FC W
18 Jul
Avondale FC W
3 : 0
Preston Lions W
10 Jul
Bentleigh Greens W
0 : 3
Avondale FC W
04 Jul
Avondale FC W
4 : 2
Essendon Royals W
27 Jun
Melbourne City U20 W
1 : 6
Avondale FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)