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Essendon Royals W vs Avondale FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Essendon Royals W
15%
Draws
50%
Avondale FC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avondale FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Avondale FC W lately — more wins on the board than Essendon Royals W.
  • Essendon Royals W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Avondale FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Avondale FC W, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • History favors Avondale FC W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 10%
Avondale FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals W Avondale FC W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 18 19
Draws 2 4
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.89 2.55
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Avondale FC W
1:2
Jul 4, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Avondale FC W vs Essendon Royals W
4:2
Mar 21, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Avondale FC W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals W 56 / 100
Avondale FC W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals W Avondale FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Essendon Royals W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals W found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Avondale FC W let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Essendon Royals W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals W VS Avondale FC W
3.5 Goals Scored 3.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals W

(Home)
12 Sept
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Avondale FC W
30 Aug
South Melbourne W
3 : 1
Essendon Royals W
22 Aug
Essendon Royals W
3 : 1
Heidelberg Utd W
14 Aug
Preston Lions W
1 : 5
Essendon Royals W
08 Aug
Essendon Royals W
5 : 2
Bentleigh Greens W
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Avondale FC W

(Away)
20 Sept
Box Hill W
1 : 2
Avondale FC W
12 Sept
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Avondale FC W
06 Sept
Avondale FC W
5 : 3
Boroondara Eagles W
30 Aug
Spring Hills W
1 : 5
Avondale FC W
22 Aug
Avondale FC W
3 : 3
Boroondara Eagles W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Box Hill W -
TBD -
Bulleen Lions W 2
South Melbourne W 1
Essendon Royals W -
TBD -
Avondale FC W 5
Boroondara Eagles W 3
Semi-finals
Box Hill W 2
Bulleen Lions W 0
Essendon Royals W 1
Avondale FC W 2
Final
Box Hill W 1
Avondale FC W 2