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Essendon Royals W vs Heidelberg Utd W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NPL Victoria Women
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between Essendon Royals W and Heidelberg Utd W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Essendon Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Essendon Royals W
15%
Draws
42%
Heidelberg Utd W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Essendon Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Essendon Royals W come out ahead of Heidelberg Utd W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Essendon Royals W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Essendon Royals W Clean Sheet 20%
Heidelberg Utd W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essendon Royals W Heidelberg Utd W
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 18 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.89 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Essendon Royals W vs Heidelberg Utd W
3:1
May 9, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Heidelberg Utd W vs Essendon Royals W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essendon Royals W 85 / 100
Heidelberg Utd W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essendon Royals W Heidelberg Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Essendon Royals W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essendon Royals W found the back of the net in 96% of recent matches (27 games).

Heidelberg Utd W has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Essendon Royals W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Essendon Royals W VS Heidelberg Utd W
3.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Essendon Royals W

(Home)
12 Sept
Essendon Royals W
1 : 2
Avondale FC W
30 Aug
South Melbourne W
3 : 1
Essendon Royals W
22 Aug
Essendon Royals W
3 : 1
Heidelberg Utd W
14 Aug
Preston Lions W
1 : 5
Essendon Royals W
08 Aug
Essendon Royals W
5 : 2
Bentleigh Greens W
Page 1 of 6

Heidelberg Utd W

(Away)
30 Aug
Heidelberg Utd W
1 : 0
Bentleigh Greens W
22 Aug
Essendon Royals W
3 : 1
Heidelberg Utd W
14 Aug
Heidelberg Utd W
2 : 1
Melbourne City U20 W
11 Aug
Keilor Park W
0 : 2
Heidelberg Utd W
25 Jul
Heidelberg Utd W
0 : 4
Avondale FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Box Hill W 26 19 3 4 67:27 60
2 Essendon Royals W 26 18 2 6 77:31 56
3 Avondale FC W 26 16 4 6 65:27 52
4 Bulleen Lions W 26 16 4 6 59:28 52
5 South Melbourne W 26 13 6 7 49:25 45
6 Boroondara Eagles W 26 14 3 9 53:40 45
7 Alamein FC W 26 13 3 10 34:27 42
8 Melbourne Victory U20 W 26 11 2 13 48:54 35
9 Heidelberg Utd W 26 9 5 12 38:48 32
10 Preston Lions W 26 8 6 12 31:47 30
11 Keilor Park W 26 7 6 13 25:45 27
12 Spring Hills W 26 8 2 16 30:46 26
13 Bentleigh Greens W 26 3 3 20 22:81 12
14 Melbourne City U20 W 26 2 1 23 22:94 7
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria Women (Play Offs)