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Essling vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

Essling play SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf in the Club Friendly 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Essling averaged 2.8 goals scored and 4 conceded. SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. In past meetings, Essling won 1, SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 19, 2025 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Essling and 1.05 for SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf. This points to a SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Essling
23%
Draws
40%
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Essling picked up more points recently compared to SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Essling Clean Sheet 22%
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Essling SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Matches Played 5 34
Wins 2 13
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.8 1.65
Goals Conceded 4 1.82

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Essling vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
5:2
May 25, 2021 Club Friendly
Essling vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
3:6
Aug 1, 2020 Club Friendly
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs Essling
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Essling Compare

Top Goalscorer Kilic N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blaumuller M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuhinja N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kraus D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Essling 38 / 100
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Essling SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Essling attacking → ← attacking SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Essling scored in 100% of their last 5 games.

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 5.33 goals.

Essling went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 46
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75