Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Essube host Araxa in the Mineiro 3 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Essube have averaged 1.35 scored and 1.4 conceded recently, against Araxa's 1.05 scored and 0.65 conceded. Past meetings favor Essube slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 1.06) point toward Araxa. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Araxa lately — more wins on the board than Essube.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Araxa taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Essube | Araxa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 20 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.05 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.65 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Essube's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 20 recent games.
Araxa let in goals in 50% of their last 20 matches.
Games between these two average 0.00 goals.
Araxa lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Essube
(Home)Araxa
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Contagem | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 3 | America TO | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Boston City | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:18 | 5 |
| 5 | Social | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3:15 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani-MG | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Tupynambas | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 29:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Inter de Minas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 15 |
| 4 | Villa Real | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 5 | Pocos de Caldas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | 8 |
| 6 | Tres Coracoes | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5:32 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Essube | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 2 | Uberaba | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:11 | 16 |
| 3 | Paracatu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Nacional Uberaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 5 | Araguari | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1:33 | 0 |
| 6 | Araxa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |