Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estadual W vs Prosperidade W

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estadual W play Prosperidade W in the Capixaba Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estadual W averaged 3.47 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Prosperidade W averaged 3.19 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Estadual W won 2, Prosperidade W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 6, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.04 for Estadual W and 2.40 for Prosperidade W. This points to a Estadual W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Estadual W
15%
Draws
41%
Prosperidade W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estadual W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Estadual W picked up more points recently compared to Prosperidade W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.04 vs 2.40 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Estadual W Clean Sheet 10%
Prosperidade W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estadual W Prosperidade W
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 14 21
Draws 0 4
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 3.47 3.19
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 3.33 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Capixaba Women
Estadual W vs Prosperidade W
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Capixaba Women
Prosperidade W vs Estadual W
4:1
Jul 27, 2025 Capixaba Women
Estadual W vs Prosperidade W
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Capixaba Women
Prosperidade W vs Estadual W
7:1
Jul 13, 2024 Capixaba Women
Estadual W vs Prosperidade W
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estadual W 42 / 100
Prosperidade W 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estadual W Prosperidade W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Estadual W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estadual W attacking → ← attacking Prosperidade W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estadual W scored in 100% of their last 19 games.

Prosperidade W let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Estadual W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Prosperidade W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 67
3.33 Goals expected (xG) 4.13
0.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Estadual W770030:521
2Prosperidade W760142:618
3MDE W750223:1815
4Serra W74039:1912
5Harpia W730411:179
6Vila Nova ES W711511:164
7EC Sao Geraldo W710610:333
8Atletico Capixaba W70167:291