Sport Picks

Brazil

Sergipano Women

Lagarto W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estanciano EC W play Lagarto W in the Sergipano Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estanciano EC W averaged 2 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. Lagarto W averaged 1.57 goals scored and 4.43 conceded. In past meetings, Estanciano EC W won 1, Lagarto W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 29, 2025 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Estanciano EC W and 1.56 for Lagarto W. This points to a Estanciano EC W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Estanciano EC W

15%

Draws

35%

Lagarto W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estanciano EC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Estanciano EC W picked up more points recently compared to Lagarto W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 54%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Estanciano EC W Clean Sheet 15%

Lagarto W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 90%

Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estanciano EC W	Lagarto W
Matches Played	12	7
Wins	4	2
Draws	0	1
Losses	8	4
Goals Scored	2	1.57
Goals Conceded	2.67	4.43
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Sergipano Women

Estanciano EC W vs Lagarto W

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

5:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estanciano EC W 48 / 100

Lagarto W 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estanciano EC W Lagarto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Estanciano EC W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.1%

1.19

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estanciano EC W attacking → ← attacking Lagarto W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estanciano EC W scored in 42% of their last 12 games.

Lagarto W let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Estanciano EC W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lagarto W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 7

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Confianca W	6	5	1	0	55:2	16
2	Juventude W	6	5	1	0	50:0	16
3	Estanciano EC W	6	4	0	2	24:15	12
4	Lagarto W	6	2	1	3	11:27	7
5	Desportiva Aracaju W	6	2	0	4	8:21	6
6	Olimpico EC W	6	1	1	4	6:61	4
7	Atletico Central W	6	0	0	6	0:28	0
8	Socorro W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Amadense W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Forca Jovem Aquidaba W	0	0	0	0	0:0	0