Sport Picks

Estarreja vs Nacional Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2016/2017

Estarreja

1 - 3

Nacional

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Cesar Martins

53'

Bonilla N.

55'

Agra S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Nacional advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Estarreja

15%

Draws

Nacional

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estarreja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Nacional come out ahead of Estarreja on wins alone.
Estarreja are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Nacional arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Nacional, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%

Estarreja Clean Sheet 68%

Nacional Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Estarreja	Nacional
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	6	7
Draws	8	6
Losses	15	18
Goals Scored	1.59	1
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.42
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2016 Taça de Portugal

Estarreja vs Nacional

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estarreja Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.99

Avg xA / game 0.65

Nacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesar Martins

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bonilla N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.07

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estarreja 86 / 100

Nacional 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Estarreja Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estarreja Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estarreja's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Nacional's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nacional has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estarreja VS Nacional

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estarreja

(Home)

07 Sept

Guarda FC

5 : 4

Estarreja

11 Sept

Estarreja

1 : 2

Aguias do Moradal

14 May

Agueda

2 : 2

Estarreja

07 May

Estarreja

3 : 1

Mortagua FC

30 Apr

CD Gouveia

3 : 1

Estarreja

Page 1 of 6

Nacional

(Away)

19 Sept

Nacional

0 : 4

Famalicao

12 Sept

Nacional

1 : 3

Alverca

05 Sept

Sporting CP

2 : 0

Nacional

30 Aug

Nacional

2 : 3

Estrela da Amadora

23 Aug

Vitoria Guimaraes

1 : 0

Nacional

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Beneditense 2

Sp. Lourel 1

Malveira 1

Santa Iria 2

Leiria 10

CF Os Gavionenses 0

TBD -

Portimonense -

TBD -

Boavista -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Moura AC 2

Beira-Mar Almada 0

TBD -

Aves -

Vitoria Sernache 1

Ac. Fundao 0

FC Felgueiras 1

Camacha 2

Vilaverdense FC 3

Vilar de Perdizes 0

TBD -

Vilafranquense -

Braga -

TBD -

Barrosas -

TBD -

Sendim 1

AD Oliveirense 8

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Lusitano GC -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Varzim -

TBD -

Anadia -

Sousense -

TBD -

GD Tourizense 2

Agueda 3

Freamunde -

TBD -

Cerva -

GD Joane 1

Barrosas 0

TBD -

Covilha -

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Mosteirense 3

SL Cartaxo 2

TBD -

Famalicao -

SC Farense 2

Lusitano GC 0

Sao Roque 0

SC Angrense 1

Coimbroes 3

Gondomar 0

Sporting Ideal 0

SC Praiense 2

SB Castelo Branco 8

Naval 0

Alianca de Gandra 0

Santa Eulalia 1

Torre De Moncorvo 2

Aguiar da Beira 1

SC Espinho 0

Cinfaes 4

Trofense 5

CF Canical 0

CD Gouveia 0

Beira Mar 4

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Torreense 1

Mafra 0

SC Mirandela 2

Maria de Fonte 3

Gafetense 1

Sintrense 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Estarreja 4

FC Pampilhosa 1

CDC Montalegre 0

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Porto -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos 1

GD Uniao Torcatense 0

Anadia 1

Gafanha 2

U. Madeira -

TBD -

FC Cesarense 1

Moimenta da Beira 2

TBD -

Chaves -

Estoril -

TBD -

Sao Roque -

TBD -

Fazendense 0

Caldas SC 3

Mortagua FC 1

Nogueirense 0

TBD -

CF Os Gavionenses -

Viana Alentejo 3

CDR Quarteirense 0

TBD -

Cova De Piedade -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

CD Rabo Peixe -

Pinhalnovense 2

Lagoa 0

TBD -

Casa Pia -

Lusitano VRSA 3

Louletano 0

Casa Pia 2

Fabril do Barreiro 3

Pedras Salgadas 1

GD Braganca 0

SC Salgueiros 2

Sanjoanense 4

Penafiel -

TBD -

Trancoso 0

Oliveirense 2

Penalva do Castelo 3

Academica Coimbra SF 2

Cerva 0

Amarante FC 2

Moreirense -

TBD -

Alcobaca 1

GD Sourense 0

TBD -

Vizela -

Feirense -

TBD -

Sendim -

TBD -

Vinha da Rainha 1

Alcanenense 4

BSAD -

TBD -

CD Gouveia -

TBD -

Academica -

Leixoes -

TBD -

Cruzado Canicense 1

Pedras Rubras 4

Almancilense 1

Amora 0

Cerveira 0

Merelinense 3

FC Barreirense 2

Operario 1

Sousense 0

Valadares Gaia FC 2

GS Loures 2

Vilafranquense 1

FC Flamengos 0

Oriental 4

Aljustrelense 4

Praia Milfontes 1

Redondense 1

Armacenenses 6

Alcains 2

Oleiros 0

Aguia Vimioso 1

AD Limianos 5

Sertanense 1

Marinhense 0

AD Satao 1

Lusitano FCV 3

TBD -

Tondela -

Real SC 3

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Raimonda 0

Sao Martinho 6

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima 2

Carapinheirense 0

TBD -

FC Pampilhosa -

Sacavenense 4

Atletico CP 0

TBD -

Olhanense -

Maritimo -

TBD -

AD Fafe -

TBD -

Naval -

1º Dezembro 3

SC Lusitania 2

TBD -

Sp. Lourel -

TBD -

Benfica -

1/64-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes -

TBD -

Beneditense 0

Santa Iria 3

Leiria 3

Portimonense 2

TBD -

Boavista -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Moura AC 0

Aves 4

Vitoria Sernache 2

Camacha 1

Vilaverdense FC 0

Vilafranquense 1

Braga -

TBD -

Barrosas 2

AD Oliveirense 3

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Lusitano GC 0

Santa Clara 3

Varzim 1

Anadia 0

Sousense 1

Agueda 2

Freamunde 5

Cerva 0

GD Joane 0

Covilha 1

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Mosteirense 0

Famalicao 2

SC Farense 2

SC Angrense 0

Coimbroes 2

SC Praiense 5

SB Castelo Branco 3

Santa Eulalia 1

Torre De Moncorvo 0

Cinfaes 3

Trofense 6

Beira Mar 1

TBD -

Vitoria Setubal -

Torreense 3

Maria de Fonte 0

Gafetense 1

Academico Viseu 3

Estarreja 3

Ponte da Barca 1

TBD -

Nacional -

FC Porto -

TBD -

Atletico Arcos 0

Gafanha 2

U. Madeira 1

Moimenta da Beira 0

TBD -

Chaves -

Estoril -

TBD -

Sao Roque 0

Caldas SC 3

Mortagua FC 3

CF Os Gavionenses 2

Viana Alentejo 1

Cova De Piedade 2

Gil Vicente 2

CD Rabo Peixe 0

Pinhalnovense 1

Casa Pia 2

Lusitano VRSA 2

Fabril do Barreiro 0

Pedras Salgadas 1

Sanjoanense 6

Penafiel 2

Oliveirense 1

Penalva do Castelo 0

Amarante FC 4

Moreirense -

TBD -

Alcobaca 0

Vizela 2

Feirense -

TBD -

Sendim 2

Alcanenense 4

BSAD -

TBD -

CD Gouveia 1

Academica 2

Leixoes 1

Pedras Rubras 0

Almancilense 0

Merelinense 2

FC Barreirense 3

Valadares Gaia FC 0

GS Loures 1

Oriental 2

Aljustrelense 3

Armacenenses 2

Alcains 0

AD Limianos 4

Sertanense 2

Lusitano FCV 1

TBD -

Tondela -

Real SC 3

Sao Martinho 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Fatima 1

FC Pampilhosa 0

Sacavenense 0

Olhanense 1

Maritimo -

TBD -

AD Fafe 2

Naval 3

1º Dezembro 2

Sp. Lourel 0

TBD -

Benfica -

1/32-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Santa Iria 1

Leiria 0

Boavista 2

Pacos Ferreira 2

Aves 1

Vitoria Sernache 0

Vilafranquense 1

Braga 3

AD Oliveirense 1

Rio Ave 1

Santa Clara 2

Varzim 3

Agueda 0

Freamunde 0

Covilha 1

Sporting CP 1

Famalicao 0

SC Farense 1

SC Praiense 3

SB Castelo Branco 1

Cinfaes 0

Trofense 0

Vitoria Setubal 1

Torreense 2

Academico Viseu 0

Estarreja 1

Nacional 3

FC Porto 3

Gafanha 0

U. Madeira 0

Chaves 1

Estoril 1

Caldas SC 0

Mortagua FC 0

Cova De Piedade 1

Gil Vicente 1

Casa Pia 0

Lusitano VRSA 1

Sanjoanense 2

Penafiel 1

Amarante FC 0

Moreirense 0

Vizela 1

Feirense 2

Alcanenense 1

BSAD 0

Academica 2

Leixoes 3

Merelinense 2

FC Barreirense 0

Oriental 2

Aljustrelense 1

AD Limianos 0

Sertanense 0

Tondela 4

Real SC 1

Arouca 0

Fatima 1

Olhanense 2

Maritimo 4

Naval 0

1º Dezembro 1

Benfica 2

1/16-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Boavista 1

Pacos Ferreira 0

Vilafranquense 1

Braga 2

Santa Clara 1

Varzim 0

Covilha 1

Sporting CP 5

SC Praiense 1

SB Castelo Branco 0

Vitoria Setubal 2

Torreense 1

Nacional 0

FC Porto 0

Chaves 1

Estoril 2

Cova De Piedade 0

Gil Vicente 0

Sanjoanense 1

Penafiel 1

Vizela 0

Feirense 0

Academica 1

Leixoes 2

Oriental 1

Aljustrelense 1

Tondela 2

Real SC 2

Olhanense 0

Maritimo 0

Benfica 6

1/8-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Vilafranquense 0

Braga 1

Covilha 2

Sporting CP 1

Vitoria Setubal 0

Torreense 2

Chaves 3

Estoril 4

Sanjoanense 2

Penafiel 0

Academica 1

Leixoes 2

Tondela 1

Real SC 0

Benfica 3

Quarter-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Covilha 0

Sporting CP 0

Chaves 1

Estoril 2

Academica 1

Leixoes 2

Benfica 6

Semi-finals

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Chaves 3

Estoril 4

Benfica 5

Final

Vitoria Guimaraes 1

Benfica 2

Estarreja vs Nacional Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal

Estarreja

Nacional

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Estarreja Compare

Nacional Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Estarreja

Nacional

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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