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Este vs Cartigliano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Scapin T.
39' Event
Santi R.
90' Event
Gobbetti T.

AI Match Summary

Cartigliano in this Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cartigliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Este
30%
Draws
39%
Cartigliano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cartigliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Este lately — more wins on the board than Cartigliano.
  • Model gives Cartigliano a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Este Clean Sheet 24%
Cartigliano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este Cartigliano
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Cartigliano
1:2
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Este
1:2
Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Este
0:0
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Cartigliano
0:0
May 19, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Cartigliano vs Este
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Santi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Cartigliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Scapin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gobbetti T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 29 / 100
Cartigliano 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este Cartigliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartigliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartigliano has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Este scored in 68% of their last 38 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Este has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Este VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
Page 1 of 8

Cartigliano

(Away)
07 May
Cartigliano
1 : 1
Torviscosa
30 Apr
Montecchio Maggiore
2 : 0
Cartigliano
23 Apr
Cartigliano
3 : 2
Adriese
16 Apr
Villafranca
1 : 1
Cartigliano
06 Apr
Cartigliano
0 : 1
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legnago Salus 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
2 Clodiense 34 15 13 6 46:31 58
3 Adriese 34 14 14 6 54:38 56
4 Campodarsego 34 14 12 8 50:40 54
5 Luparense FC 34 13 14 7 49:34 53
6 Virtus Bolzano 34 13 14 7 53:43 53
7 Este 34 13 11 10 47:39 50
8 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 15 8 38:36 48
9 Caldiero Terme 34 12 12 10 42:41 48
10 Cartigliano 34 11 13 10 47:50 46
11 Mestre 34 12 7 15 46:42 43
12 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 11 10 13 42:47 43
13 Montecchio Maggiore 34 10 9 15 50:55 39
14 Torviscosa 34 8 12 14 31:46 36
15 Portogruaro 34 9 8 17 36:56 35
16 Villafranca 34 8 10 16 35:46 34
17 Montebelluna 34 8 7 19 35:61 31
18 Levico Terme 34 5 14 15 23:41 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2022/2023 (Play Out)