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Este vs Montebelluna Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Giacomazzi A.
73' Event
Maset Y.

AI Match Summary

Este in this Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Este.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Este
20%
Draws
40%
Montebelluna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Montebelluna at 1.07 per game, Este at 0.93.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Este Clean Sheet 68%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Este Montebelluna
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Montebelluna
2:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Este
1:1
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Este
1:0
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Montebelluna
1:0
Feb 20, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Este
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Este Compare

Top Goalscorer Giacomazzi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maset Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Montebelluna Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Este 41 / 100
Montebelluna 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Este Montebelluna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Este Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Este scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Montebelluna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Montebelluna's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Este VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Este

(Home)
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
13 Sept
Este
0 : 1
FC Obermais
06 Sept
Brian Lignano
0 : 2
Este
Page 1 of 6

Montebelluna

(Away)
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0
Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2
Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0
Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0
Montebelluna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clodiense 34 25 5 4 49:17 80
2 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 19 9 6 56:25 66
3 Treviso 34 19 3 12 51:37 60
4 Bassano Virtus 34 15 9 10 35:30 54
5 Campodarsego 34 12 15 7 42:26 51
6 Este 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
7 Montecchio Maggiore 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
8 Adriese 34 13 11 10 54:41 50
9 Portogruaro 34 13 9 12 52:43 48
10 Mestre 34 13 9 12 34:37 48
11 Montebelluna 34 11 12 11 35:41 45
12 Chions 34 10 11 13 40:50 41
13 Luparense FC 34 10 9 15 38:41 39
14 Breno 34 8 13 13 39:49 37
15 Cjarlins Muzane 34 7 14 13 30:37 35
16 Castegnato 34 7 12 15 39:58 33
17 Virtus Bolzano 34 4 12 18 25:52 24
18 Mori 34 3 6 25 22:76 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2023/2024 (Play Out)