Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Marchesini M.
(Penalty)
40'
40'
Cantonati G.
45'
45'
Dalla Bernardina G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Este
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Este come out ahead of Vigasio on wins alone.
- Este are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Este have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Este, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Este Clean Sheet 68%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Este | Vigasio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Este
0:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Este vs Vigasio
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Vigasio
1:1
Mar 29, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Vigasio
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Este
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Este Compare
Top Goalscorer Cogo G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Vigasio Compare
Top Goalscorer Cantonati G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Este 77 / 100
Vigasio 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Este Vigasio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Este found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Vigasio let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Este went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Este VS Vigasio
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Este
(Home) 17 May
Clodiense
1 : 0 Este
03 May
Este
2 : 0 Luparense FC
26 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2 Este
17 Apr
Este
1 : 1 Clodiense
12 Apr
Legnago Salus
1 : 1 Este
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Este
2 : 0 Luparense FC
17 Apr
Este
1 : 1 Clodiense
03 Apr
Este
0 : 2 Calvi Noale
22 Mar
Este
1 : 2 Bassano Virtus
01 Mar
Este
2 : 0 Portogruaro
Page 1 of 3
Vigasio
(Away) 17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3 FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4 Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0 Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3 Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1 Vigasio
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0 Vigasio
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1 Vigasio
29 Mar
Calvi Noale
3 : 1 Vigasio
15 Mar
Bassano Virtus
1 : 1 Vigasio
22 Feb
Portogruaro
0 : 2 Vigasio
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
