Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Ghadir Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal Khuzestan play Aluminium Arak in the Persian Gulf Pro League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esteghlal Khuzestan averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Aluminium Arak averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Esteghlal Khuzestan won 1, Aluminium Arak won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 1, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.69 for Aluminium Arak. This points to a Esteghlal Khuzestan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
30%
Draws
34%
Aluminium Arak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esteghlal Khuzestan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Aluminium Arak demonstrates higher offensive output (0.75 avg goals) than Esteghlal Khuzestan (0.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Esteghlal Khuzestan.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Persian Gulf Pro League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 68%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Khuzestan Aluminium Arak
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 6 6
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:0
Jan 20, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:1
Aug 15, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
0:0
Feb 21, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jalalivand A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Aluminium Arak Compare

Top Goalscorer Ezhdehakosh K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Khuzestan 46 / 100
Aluminium Arak 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Khuzestan Aluminium Arak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal Khuzestan scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Aluminium Arak let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Esteghlal Khuzestan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aluminium Arak lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal Khuzestan VS Aluminium Arak
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915