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Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Ghadir Stadium, Ahvaz
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Boboy R.
Penalty Missed
18' Event
Mohammadfar S.
46'
Sub
Simanpour S. In: Zergani J.
Out: Simanpour S.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Esteghlal Khuzestan and Chadormalu finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
30%
Draws
41%
Chadormalu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chadormalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Chadormalu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Esteghlal Khuzestan's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 20%
Chadormalu Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Khuzestan Chadormalu
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.12
Goals Conceded 1.26 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu
1:1
Dec 15, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Chadormalu vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
3:1
Feb 20, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Chadormalu vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
3:0
Sep 21, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Chadormalu
1:1
May 4, 2023 Azadegan League
Chadormalu vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare

Top Goalscorer Rostami A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Chadormalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammadfar S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Khuzestan 42 / 100
Chadormalu 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Khuzestan Chadormalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chadormalu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Esteghlal Khuzestan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Esteghlal Khuzestan scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal Khuzestan VS Chadormalu
0.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal Khuzestan

(Home)
08 Oct
Gol Gohar
3 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Tractor
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Chadormalu
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6

Chadormalu

(Away)
12 Sept
Sanat Naft
1 : 2
Chadormalu
06 Sept
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Chadormalu
28 Aug
Chadormalu
0 : 2
Tractor
24 Aug
Gol Gohar
3 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
9 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
10 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
11 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
12 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
13 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
14 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)