Sport Picks
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Kheybar Khorramabad Prediction & H2H Stats
Iran
Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Ghadir Stadium, Ahvaz 
Match Events
37'
37'
Shojaei A.
45'
45'
Mehdizadeh M.
45'
45'
Azadmanesh A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Esteghlal Khuzestan and Kheybar Khorramabad finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kheybar Khorramabad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Esteghlal Khuzestan haven't matched Kheybar Khorramabad's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 21%
Kheybar Khorramabad Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esteghlal Khuzestan | Kheybar Khorramabad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 9, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
0:1
May 1, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
0:0
Dec 19, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:0
Feb 25, 2023 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
0:0
Sep 28, 2022 Azadegan League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esteghlal Khuzestan 37 / 100
Kheybar Khorramabad 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esteghlal Khuzestan Kheybar Khorramabad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kheybar Khorramabad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kheybar Khorramabad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Esteghlal Khuzestan stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Esteghlal Khuzestan scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.
H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Esteghlal Khuzestan VS Kheybar Khorramabad
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Esteghlal Khuzestan
(Home) 10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Tractor
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Chadormalu
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0 Esteghlal Khuzestan
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Mazandaran
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Tractor
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Chadormalu
23 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1 Mazandaran
14 Aug
Esteghlal Khuzestan
0 : 2 Aluminium Arak
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0 Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 3
Kheybar Khorramabad
(Away) 07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 0 Foolad
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3 Paykan
19 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Kheybar Khorramabad
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
19 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1 Kheybar Khorramabad
20 Feb
Persepolis
1 : 2 Kheybar Khorramabad
06 Feb
Sepahan
1 : 0 Kheybar Khorramabad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Esteghlal TEH | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 29:16 | 41 |
| 2 | Tractor | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 30:12 | 39 |
| 3 | Sepahan | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 39 |
| 4 | Gol Gohar | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 24:24 | 36 |
| 5 | Chadormalu | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 27:19 | 35 |
| 6 | Persepolis | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:19 | 34 |
| 7 | Foolad | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 21:16 | 31 |
| 8 | Fajr Sepasi | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:27 | 30 |
| 9 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 22:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Malavan | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 29 |
| 11 | Esteghlal Khuzestan | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 16:23 | 25 |
| 12 | Paykan | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 15:21 | 24 |
| 13 | Shams Azar Qazvin | 23 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 15:19 | 22 |
| 14 | Aluminium Arak | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:21 | 22 |
| 15 | Zob Ahan | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 12:19 | 19 |
| 16 | Mes Rafsanjan | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 13:29 | 15 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
