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Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mazandaran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Ghadir Stadium, Ahvaz
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Koohi A.
58'
Sub
Abbasi A. In: Mehdizadeh M.
Out: Abbasi A.
63'
Sub
Fazeli M. In: Savaed A.
Out: Fazeli M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
35%
Draws
40%
Mazandaran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mazandaran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazandaran lately — more wins on the board than Esteghlal Khuzestan.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 23%
Mazandaran Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Khuzestan Mazandaran
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 5 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.58 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mazandaran
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mazandaran
2:0
Oct 25, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0:0
May 13, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Mazandaran
1:4
Dec 9, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Mazandaran vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare

Top Goalscorer Zergani J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Mazandaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Koohi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Khuzestan 37 / 100
Mazandaran 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Khuzestan Mazandaran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazandaran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Esteghlal Khuzestan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Esteghlal Khuzestan scored in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Mazandaran let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal Khuzestan VS Mazandaran
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal Khuzestan

(Home)
08 Oct
Gol Gohar
3 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
10 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Tractor
06 Sept
Sepahan
1 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
01 Sept
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Chadormalu
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6

Mazandaran

(Away)
08 Oct
Mazandaran
1 : 1
Zob Ahan
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mazandaran
1 : 0
Kheybar Khorramabad
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
28 Aug
Mazandaran
0 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Paykan 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
9 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
10 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Shams Azar Qazvin 8 1 3 4 7:10 6
16 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)