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Stadium Background

Esteghlal Molasani vs Ario Eslamshahr

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal Molasani play Ario Eslamshahr in the Division 1 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esteghlal Molasani averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Ario Eslamshahr averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Esteghlal Molasani won 1, Ario Eslamshahr won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 10, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Esteghlal Molasani and 0.80 for Ario Eslamshahr. This points to a Esteghlal Molasani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Esteghlal Molasani
6%
Draws
90%
Ario Eslamshahr
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ario Eslamshahr has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Esteghlal Molasani.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ario Eslamshahr.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 26%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Molasani Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 17
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0 0.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Esteghlal Molasani
0:0
Dec 18, 2023 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Molasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Namdari V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Molasani 10 / 100
Ario Eslamshahr 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Molasani Ario Eslamshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal Molasani scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ario Eslamshahr let in goals in 46% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Esteghlal Molasani went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ario Eslamshahr lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ario Eslamshahr
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 13%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kheybar Khorramabad34252759:2577
2Fajr Sepasi34227550:1773
3Chadormalu34227547:2073
4Naft Masjed-Soleyman341613547:2958
5Saipa3413111035:2850
6Mes Kerman341115828:2448
7Ario Eslamshahr3411131028:2846
8Mes Shahr Babak3411111232:2644
9Naft Gachsaran3410131135:2643
10Kara Gostar Shabestar3411101327:3443
11Pars Janoobi Jam3411101333:4243
12Esteghlal Molasani3410131126:3338
13Shahre Raz348121425:3436
14Shahrdari Astara34961922:4433
15Damash Gilan347111632:4532
16Darya Babol346131530:4131
17Shahin Bandar Ameri3449821:5127
18Khoosheh Talai34662217:4724