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Esteghlal Molasani vs Chooka Talesh

Iran Iran

Division 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal Molasani play Chooka Talesh in the Division 1 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esteghlal Molasani averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Chooka Talesh averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Esteghlal Molasani won 1, Chooka Talesh won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 31, 2023 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Esteghlal Molasani and 1.00 for Chooka Talesh. This points to a Esteghlal Molasani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Esteghlal Molasani
35%
Draws
22%
Chooka Talesh
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esteghlal Molasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Esteghlal Molasani picked up more points recently compared to Chooka Talesh.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 23%
Chooka Talesh Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Molasani Chooka Talesh
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.8
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2023 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Chooka Talesh
3:3
Sep 7, 2022 Azadegan League
Chooka Talesh vs Esteghlal Molasani
1:2
Jun 21, 2021 Azadegan League
Chooka Talesh vs Esteghlal Molasani
2:1
Feb 8, 2021 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Chooka Talesh
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Molasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Padash F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saeedavi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chooka Talesh Compare

Top Goalscorer Aminpour P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shamkhali E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Molasani 43 / 100
Chooka Talesh 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Molasani Chooka Talesh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Esteghlal Molasani or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esteghlal Molasani attacking → ← attacking Chooka Talesh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal Molasani scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Chooka Talesh let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Esteghlal Molasani went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chooka Talesh lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 21
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Shams Azar Qazvin32217466:2470
2Esteghlal Khuzestan321415347:2157
3Saipa321510730:2255
4Fajr Sepasi321411740:2553
5Kheybar Khorramabad321216432:1652
6Mes Shahr Babak321015724:2045
7Vanpars321291132:2945
8Chadormalu321112932:3145
9Pars Janoobi Jam3211101126:3143
10Darya Babol328141026:2538
11Esteghlal Molasani32716927:4237
12Khoosheh Talai328111326:3335
13Arman Gohar327101528:4531
14Shahrdari Astara325151214:2730
15Shahrdari Hamedan326111516:2929
16Khalij Fars Mahshahr32781721:4229
17Chooka Talesh324101829:5422
18Omid Vahdat Khorasan00000:00
19Shahr Khodrou00000:00
20Qashqai Shiraz00000:00
21Shahin Bandar Ameri00000:00