Sport Picks

Iran

Hazfi Cup 2023/2024

Sepahan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal Molasani play Sepahan in the Hazfi Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Esteghlal Molasani averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Sepahan averaged 1.18 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. In past meetings, Esteghlal Molasani won 0, Sepahan won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Esteghlal Molasani and 1.30 for Sepahan. This points to a Sepahan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Esteghlal Molasani

23%

Draws

47%

Sepahan

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Sepahan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Esteghlal Molasani picked up more points recently compared to Sepahan.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 58%

Over 2.5 Goals 31%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 19%

Sepahan Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 52%

Second Half Goal 55%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Esteghlal Molasani	Sepahan
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	10	15
Draws	9	6
Losses	11	7
Goals Scored	0.9	1.18
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2024 Hazfi Cup

Esteghlal Molasani vs Sepahan

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Molasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Pakparvar M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sepahan Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezaei K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Molasani 31 / 100

Sepahan 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Esteghlal Molasani Sepahan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sepahan or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +24%

4.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Esteghlal Molasani attacking → ← attacking Sepahan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal Molasani scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sepahan let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Esteghlal Molasani went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sepahan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 51

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63