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Esteghlal Molasani vs Shahin Bandar Ameri Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ghanbari A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2023/2024 game between Esteghlal Molasani and Shahin Bandar Ameri finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shahin Bandar Ameri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Esteghlal Molasani
35%
Draws
32%
Shahin Bandar Ameri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esteghlal Molasani come out ahead of Shahin Bandar Ameri on wins alone.
  • Shahin Bandar Ameri are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Shahin Bandar Ameri have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 23%
Shahin Bandar Ameri Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal Molasani Shahin Bandar Ameri
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 10 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.87 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2024 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
0:1
Sep 6, 2022 Azadegan League
Shahin Bandar Ameri vs Esteghlal Molasani
0:0
Mar 12, 2021 Hazfi Cup
Esteghlal Molasani vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal Molasani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Shahin Bandar Ameri Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghanbari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal Molasani 16 / 100
Shahin Bandar Ameri 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal Molasani Shahin Bandar Ameri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shahin Bandar Ameri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Esteghlal Molasani scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Shahin Bandar Ameri conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.67 goals per match.

Esteghlal Molasani went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal Molasani VS Shahin Bandar Ameri
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal Molasani

(Home)
10 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 0
Esteghlal Molasani
05 Jun
Esteghlal Molasani
1 : 0
Mes Shahr Babak
30 May
Esteghlal Molasani
2 : 6
Kheybar Khorramabad
19 May
Esteghlal Molasani
0 : 3
Fajr Sepasi
13 May
Darya Babol
2 : 0
Esteghlal Molasani
Page 1 of 7

Shahin Bandar Ameri

(Away)
27 Sept
Foolad Novin Ahvaz
2 : 2
Shahin Bandar Ameri
21 Sept
Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 : 0
Pars Janoobi Jam
15 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
1 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
10 Jun
Mes Shahr Babak
2 : 1
Shahin Bandar Ameri
05 Jun
Shahin Bandar Ameri
0 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kheybar Khorramabad 34 25 2 7 59:25 77
2 Fajr Sepasi 34 22 7 5 50:17 73
3 Chadormalu 34 22 7 5 47:20 73
4 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 34 16 13 5 47:29 58
5 Saipa 34 13 11 10 35:28 50
6 Mes Kerman 34 11 15 8 28:24 48
7 Ario Eslamshahr 34 11 13 10 28:28 46
8 Mes Shahr Babak 34 11 11 12 32:26 44
9 Naft Gachsaran 34 10 13 11 35:26 43
10 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 11 10 13 27:34 43
11 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 11 10 13 33:42 43
12 Esteghlal Molasani 34 10 13 11 26:33 38
13 Shahre Raz 34 8 12 14 25:34 36
14 Shahrdari Astara 34 9 6 19 22:44 33
15 Damash Gilan 34 7 11 16 32:45 32
16 Darya Babol 34 6 13 15 30:41 31
17 Shahin Bandar Ameri 34 4 9 8 21:51 27
18 Khoosheh Talai 34 6 6 22 17:47 24
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