Sport Picks
Esteghlal TEH vs Al Sadd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Asia
AFC Champions League Azadi Stadium, Tehran 
Match Events
9'
9'
Asani J.
33'
33'
Goudarzi H.
38'
38'
Koushki A.
AI Match Summary
Esteghlal TEH in this AFC Champions League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esteghlal TEH.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Sadd lately — more wins on the board than Esteghlal TEH.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 15%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esteghlal TEH | Al Sadd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 2.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 AFC Champions League
Esteghlal TEH vs Al Sadd
3:0
Sep 30, 2024 AFC Champions League
Al Sadd vs Esteghlal TEH
2:0
Sep 17, 2018 AFC Champions League
Al Sadd vs Esteghlal TEH
2:2
Aug 27, 2018 AFC Champions League
Esteghlal TEH vs Al Sadd
1:3
Feb 7, 2017 AFC Champions League
Esteghlal TEH vs Al Sadd
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Esteghlal TEH Compare
Top Goalscorer Asani J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Saharkhizan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Al Sadd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Esteghlal TEH 30 / 100
Al Sadd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Esteghlal TEH Al Sadd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Sadd has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
Esteghlal TEH went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Esteghlal TEH's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Esteghlal TEH VS Al Sadd
1.5 Goals Scored 3
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Esteghlal TEH
(Home) 08 Oct
Tractor
1 : 1 Esteghlal TEH
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0 Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1 Persepolis
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0 Paykan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1 Persepolis
23 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 0 Sepahan
14 Aug
Esteghlal TEH
4 : 0 Mes Shahr Babak
Page 1 of 3
Al Sadd
(Away) 09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3 Al Arabi (Qatar)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6 Al Sadd
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1 Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1 Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0 Al Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6 Al Sadd
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6 Al Sadd
06 Aug
Aris Limassol
1 : 1 Al Sadd
30 Jul
Trabzonspor
0 : 1 Al Sadd
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Daejeon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Buriram United F.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Johor DT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Port MTI FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Kyoto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 | Cong An Ha Noi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Esteghlal TEH | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Neftchi Fargona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pakhtakor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Wasl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tractor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Nassr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
