Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Esteghlal TEH vs Aluminium Arak

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Asani J.
(Penalty)
20'
Goudarzi B.
45' Event
Munir El Haddadi
Assist: Koushki A.

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal TEH in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esteghlal TEH.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Esteghlal TEH
20%
Draws
38%
Aluminium Arak
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Esteghlal TEH

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Esteghlal TEH have won more games recently than Aluminium Arak.
  • Model gives Esteghlal TEH a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 68%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal TEH Aluminium Arak
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 6
Draws 9 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Aluminium Arak
3:1
May 2, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Aluminium Arak
5:1
Dec 20, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH
1:1
Apr 12, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal TEH Compare

Top Goalscorer Munir El Haddadi
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koushki A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Aluminium Arak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal TEH 51 / 100
Aluminium Arak 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal TEH Aluminium Arak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal TEH found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Aluminium Arak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Esteghlal TEH remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal TEH VS Aluminium Arak
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915