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Stadium Background

Esteghlal TEH vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Mousavi M.
46'
Sub
Gholizadeh E. In: Asani J.
Out: Gholizadeh E.
55' Event
Fallah S.

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal TEH host Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Persian Gulf Pro League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Esteghlal TEH have averaged 0.88 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Esteghlal Khuzestan's 0.5 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Esteghlal TEH have won 3 to Esteghlal Khuzestan's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.76 - 0.69) back Esteghlal TEH to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Esteghlal TEH
39%
Draws
31%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Esteghlal TEH has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Esteghlal Khuzestan.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Persian Gulf Pro League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 68%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal TEH Esteghlal Khuzestan
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Esteghlal TEH
1:0
Jan 30, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
2:0
Aug 29, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Esteghlal TEH
1:0
Mar 8, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Esteghlal TEH
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal TEH Compare

Top Goalscorer Fallah S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal TEH 41 / 100
Esteghlal Khuzestan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal TEH Esteghlal Khuzestan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteghlal TEH scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Esteghlal Khuzestan let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Esteghlal TEH went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Esteghlal Khuzestan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal TEH VS Esteghlal Khuzestan
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915