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Esteghlal TEH vs Mes Shahr Babak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium, Tehran
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Match Events

45' Event
Saharkhizan S.
Assist: Gholizadeh E.
54' Event
Saharkhizan S.
Assist: Razzaghinia A.
88' Event
Eslami M.
Assist: Asani J.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Esteghlal TEH and Mes Shahr Babak finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esteghlal TEH.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Esteghlal TEH
35%
Draws
16%
Mes Shahr Babak
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esteghlal TEH

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esteghlal TEH come out ahead of Mes Shahr Babak on wins alone.
  • Model gives Esteghlal TEH a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 68%
Mes Shahr Babak Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal TEH Mes Shahr Babak
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 12
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.32 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.52 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Mes Shahr Babak
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal TEH Compare

Top Goalscorer Saharkhizan S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eslami M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Mes Shahr Babak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal TEH 86 / 100
Mes Shahr Babak 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal TEH Mes Shahr Babak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Esteghlal TEH went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Esteghlal TEH's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Mes Shahr Babak let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal TEH VS Mes Shahr Babak
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal TEH

(Home)
08 Oct
Tractor
1 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
Page 1 of 5

Mes Shahr Babak

(Away)
08 Oct
Foolad
2 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
13 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 1
Mazandaran
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Mes Shahr Babak
0 : 0
Sanat Naft
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Paykan 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
9 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
10 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Shams Azar Qazvin 8 1 3 4 7:10 6
16 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)