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Esteghlal TEH vs Paykan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium, Tehran
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Match Events

56'
Mohebi S.
65'
Sub
Eslami M. In: Koushki A.
Out: Eslami M.
67'
Gholizadeh E.

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal TEH in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esteghlal TEH.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Esteghlal TEH
35%
Draws
28%
Paykan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Esteghlal TEH

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esteghlal TEH lately — more wins on the board than Paykan.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Esteghlal TEH taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 68%
Paykan Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal TEH Paykan
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.31 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Paykan
1:0
Feb 1, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Esteghlal TEH
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Paykan
2:2
Apr 26, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Esteghlal TEH vs Paykan
1:0
Jun 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Esteghlal TEH
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal TEH 50 / 100
Paykan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal TEH Paykan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esteghlal TEH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Esteghlal TEH stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Esteghlal TEH found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (26 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Paykan conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal TEH VS Paykan
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal TEH

(Home)
08 Oct
Tractor
1 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
Page 1 of 6

Paykan

(Away)
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Paykan
2 : 0
Sanat Naft
02 Sept
Zob Ahan
1 : 0
Paykan
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3
Paykan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
9 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
10 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)