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Stadium Background

Esteghlal TEH vs Persepolis Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Razzaghinia A.
50' Event
Mohebi M.
57'
Sub
Sergeev I. In: Omri M.
Out: Sergeev I.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Esteghlal TEH and Persepolis finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Esteghlal TEH
35%
Draws
34%
Persepolis
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Esteghlal TEH carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 20%
Persepolis Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteghlal TEH Persepolis
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.48 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Persepolis
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Esteghlal TEH
0:0
Feb 27, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Persepolis vs Esteghlal TEH
2:1
Sep 25, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Persepolis
0:1
Mar 13, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Persepolis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteghlal TEH Compare

Top Goalscorer Asani J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Persepolis Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohebi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteghlal TEH 32 / 100
Persepolis 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteghlal TEH Persepolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Esteghlal TEH stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Esteghlal TEH's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Persepolis let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Esteghlal TEH VS Persepolis
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteghlal TEH

(Home)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
28 Aug
Foolad
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

Persepolis

(Away)
07 Sept
Persepolis
2 : 0
Zob Ahan
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Tractor
1 : 0
Persepolis
19 Aug
Persepolis
4 : 1
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 7 5 1 1 8:1 16
2 Esteghlal TEH 7 4 3 0 9:1 15
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Aluminium Arak 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
5 Sepahan 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
6 Gol Gohar 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
7 Foolad 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
8 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
9 Mazandaran 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
10 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
11 Fajr Sepasi 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
12 Malavan 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
13 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
14 Zob Ahan 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 7 0 5 2 5:10 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)