Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Esteli host Jalapa in the Liga Primera. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Esteli at 1.75 goals for, 0.83 against; Jalapa at 1.27 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Esteli slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 30, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.94) point toward Esteli. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Esteli have won more games recently than Jalapa.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Esteli taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Esteli | Jalapa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 33 |
| Wins | 21 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esteli's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
Jalapa has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Esteli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Esteli
(Home)Jalapa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua FC | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Diriangen | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 24:11 | 26 |
| 3 | Esteli | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:8 | 21 |
| 4 | UNAN-Managua | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Sport Sebaco | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 14 |
| 6 | Walter Ferreti | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:20 | 11 |
| 7 | San Marcos | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 8 | Matagalpa | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5:20 | 9 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:21 | 6 |
| 10 | Jalapa | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6:17 | 5 |
