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Esteli vs Managua FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esteli host Managua FC in the Liga Primera. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Esteli have averaged 1.84 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Managua FC's 2.13 scored and 1.09 conceded. Past meetings favor Esteli slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 2.31, favoring Esteli. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Esteli
35%
Draws
38%
Managua FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Managua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esteli come out ahead of Managua FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Esteli Clean Sheet 10%
Managua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteli Managua FC
Matches Played 37 32
Wins 22 19
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.84 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Esteli
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Managua FC
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Esteli
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Primera
Managua FC vs Esteli
1:2
Dec 1, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Managua FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteli 30 / 100
Managua FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteli Managua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteli found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (37 games).

Managua FC let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Esteli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Esteli VS Managua FC
2 Goals Scored 3.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
Esteli
03 Sept
Esteli
2 : 0
San Marcos
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
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Managua FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 6
Managua FC
11 Sept
Managua FC
1 : 1
Esteli
06 Sept
Walter Ferreti
2 : 3
Managua FC
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 10 8 2 0 33:10 26
2 Diriangen 10 8 2 0 22:7 26
3 UNAN-Managua 10 6 2 2 12:7 20
4 Esteli 10 5 3 2 17:7 18
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 10 3 1 6 9:16 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 10 2 2 6 14:18 8
9 Jalapa 10 1 2 7 6:16 5
10 Rancho Santana 10 1 2 7 8:20 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)