Sport Picks

Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026 Estadio Independencia

Esteli

2 - 1

Managua FC

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Martinez J. A.

67'

74'

Barrera J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Esteli in this Liga Primera 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esteli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Esteli

30%

Draws

34%

Managua FC

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Esteli lately — more wins on the board than Managua FC.
Esteli are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Esteli Clean Sheet 14%

Managua FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Esteli	Managua FC
Matches Played	33	32
Wins	20	16
Draws	8	7
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	1.5	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga Primera

Managua FC vs Esteli

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Apr 9, 2026 Liga Primera

Esteli vs Managua FC

Possession: 44% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Feb 8, 2026 Liga Primera

Managua FC vs Esteli

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 0 - 4

0:2

Dec 7, 2025 Liga Primera

Managua FC vs Esteli

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Dec 1, 2025 Liga Primera

Esteli vs Managua FC

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteli Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrera J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Quijano J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Managua FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J. A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteli 35 / 100

Managua FC 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Esteli Managua FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Esteli remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Esteli's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Managua FC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Esteli VS Managua FC

1.5 Goals Scored 2.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Diriangen	18	12	3	3	40:19	39
2	Esteli	18	11	4	3	41:19	37
3	Jalapa	18	9	6	3	29:16	33
4	Managua FC	18	8	5	5	22:18	29
5	Matagalpa	18	5	7	6	30:24	22
6	Walter Ferreti	18	5	6	7	18:28	21
7	Sport Sebaco	18	6	2	10	23:24	20
8	UNAN-Managua	18	4	4	10	21:34	16
9	Rancho Santana	18	4	4	10	20:43	16
10	Real Madriz	18	4	3	11	14:33	15