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Esteli vs Walter Ferreti

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026 Estadio Independencia, Estelí
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
17' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Esteli and Walter Ferreti finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Walter Ferreti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Esteli
6%
Draws
4%
Walter Ferreti
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Esteli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Esteli taking it.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Esteli Clean Sheet 68%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteli Walter Ferreti
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
2:4
Feb 15, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Esteli
0:4
Nov 28, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Esteli
0:1
Aug 25, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteli 95 / 100
Walter Ferreti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteli Walter Ferreti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esteli found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Esteli went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Walter Ferreti let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Esteli VS Walter Ferreti
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Esteli

(Home)
18 Jul
Esteli
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
11 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Xilotepelt
04 Jul
Xilotepelt
0 : 1
Esteli
17 May
Diriangen
1 : 2
Esteli
10 May
Esteli
1 : 1
Diriangen
Page 1 of 7

Walter Ferreti

(Away)
24 Jul
Walter Ferreti
1 : 3
Diriangen
18 Jul
Jalapa
1 : 0
Walter Ferreti
29 Apr
Jalapa
3 : 0
Walter Ferreti
25 Apr
Jalapa
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
18 Apr
Matagalpa
4 : 0
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)