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Esteli vs Walter Ferreti

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026 Estadio Independencia
Fri, Nov 28, 2025
2 - 1
01:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Mitchell J.
90'
Quijano J.
90' Event
Espinoza R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Esteli and Walter Ferreti finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Esteli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Esteli
6%
Draws
4%
Walter Ferreti
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esteli come out ahead of Walter Ferreti on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Esteli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Esteli Clean Sheet 68%
Walter Ferreti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Esteli Walter Ferreti
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
2:4
Feb 15, 2026 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Esteli
0:4
Nov 28, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Primera
Walter Ferreti vs Esteli
0:1
Aug 25, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Walter Ferreti
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Esteli Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitchell J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nino H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Walter Ferreti Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinoza R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Esteli 95 / 100
Walter Ferreti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Esteli Walter Ferreti

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Esteli stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Esteli scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Walter Ferreti let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Esteli VS Walter Ferreti
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Diriangen-
TBD-
Sport Sebaco2
Matagalpa0
Managua FC-
TBD-
Esteli2
Walter Ferreti1
Semi-finals
Diriangen6
Sport Sebaco0
Managua FC3
Esteli2
Final
Diriangen1
Managua FC0