Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2020/2021

Maardu Linnameeskond

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Eston Villa play Maardu Linnameeskond in the Estonian Cup 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eston Villa averaged 1.97 goals scored and 3.37 conceded. Maardu Linnameeskond averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Eston Villa won 0, Maardu Linnameeskond won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 28, 2020 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Eston Villa and 1.30 for Maardu Linnameeskond. This points to a Maardu Linnameeskond double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Eston Villa

15%

Draws

55%

Maardu Linnameeskond

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Eston Villa picked up more points recently compared to Maardu Linnameeskond.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Eston Villa Clean Sheet 19%

Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Eston Villa	Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	12
Draws	0	8
Losses	18	9
Goals Scored	1.97	1.59
Goals Conceded	3.37	1.79

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2020 Estonian Cup

Eston Villa vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eston Villa Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Dmitriev Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Tsombaljuk S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eston Villa 31 / 100

Maardu Linnameeskond 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Eston Villa Maardu Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond Win (2)

Secondary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eston Villa attacking → ← attacking Maardu Linnameeskond

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eston Villa scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Maardu Linnameeskond let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Eston Villa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Maardu Linnameeskond lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 44

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50