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Estonia U21 vs Finland U21

Europe Europe

Baltic Cup U21 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Tammik T.
53'
Vaananen S.
59'
Sub
Salomaa H. In: Bulgakov D.
Out: Salomaa H.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Estonia U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Estonia U21
6%
Draws
90%
Finland U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finland U21 come out ahead of Estonia U21 on wins alone.
  • Finland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Finland U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Finland U21, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Finland U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Estonia U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia U21 Finland U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2024 Baltic Cup U21
Estonia U21 vs Finland U21
1:0
Nov 15, 2021 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Estonia U21
1:0
Sep 3, 2021 Euro U21
Estonia U21 vs Finland U21
0:3
Jan 16, 2015 CIS Cup
Estonia U21 vs Finland U21
1:2
Oct 13, 2012 Friendly International
Estonia U21 vs Finland U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tammik T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Finland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia U21 10 / 100
Finland U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia U21 Finland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estonia U21 scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Finland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Estonia U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estonia U21 VS Finland U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estonia U21

(Home)
07 Jun
Estonia U21
2 : 2
Lithuania U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
31 Mar
Switzerland U21
2 : 1
Estonia U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Oct
France U21
6 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 6

Finland U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
18 Nov
Finland U21
0 : 0
Kosovo U21
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Estonia U211
Finland U210
Latvia U212
Lithuania U211
Final
Estonia U213
Latvia U214
Finland U212
Lithuania U210