Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Obert A.
38'
38'
Tamm A.
55'
55'
Bozenik R.
AI Match Summary
Slovakia in this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovakia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Slovakia have won more games recently than Estonia.
- Estonia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Slovakia here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Estonia Clean Sheet 68%
Slovakia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estonia | Slovakia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 19, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Slovakia vs Estonia
1:0
Sep 5, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Estonia vs Slovakia
0:1
Oct 8, 2005 World Championship
Slovakia vs Estonia
1:0
Mar 26, 2005 World Championship
Estonia vs Slovakia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Estonia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Slovakia Compare
Top Goalscorer Suslov T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estonia 59 / 100
Slovakia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estonia Slovakia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Estonia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Slovakia let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Solid form: Estonia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Estonia scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Estonia VS Slovakia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Estonia
(Home) 09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Faroe Islands
30 Mar
Rwanda
2 : 0 Estonia
27 Mar
Kenya
1 : 2 Estonia
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4 Estonia
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09 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Lithuania
06 Jun
Estonia
1 : 0 Faroe Islands
14 Oct
Estonia
1 : 1 Moldova
11 Oct
Estonia
1 : 3 Italy
09 Sept
Estonia
0 : 0 Andorra
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Slovakia
(Away) 05 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 2 Montenegro
01 Jun
Slovakia
2 : 1 Malta
31 Mar
Slovakia
2 : 0 Romania
26 Mar
Slovakia
3 : 4 Kosovo
17 Nov
Germany
6 : 0 Slovakia
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17 Nov
Germany
6 : 0 Slovakia
10 Oct
Northern Ireland
2 : 0 Slovakia
07 Sept
Luxembourg
0 : 1 Slovakia
10 Jun
Israel
1 : 0 Slovakia
07 Jun
Greece
4 : 1 Slovakia
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Estonia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romania | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 18 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Cyprus | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:15 | 6 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Belarus | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Macedonia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Armenia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Latvia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League C/D - Relegation)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (League B/C - Relegation)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League D)
