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Estonia W vs Iceland U23 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Johannesdottir S.
46'
Sub
Merisalu L. In: Treiberg E.
Out: Merisalu L.
46'
Sub
Kork K. In: Kruusmann K.
Out: Kork K.

AI Match Summary

Iceland U23 W in this Friendly International Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iceland U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Estonia W
17%
Draws
13%
Iceland U23 W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Estonia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estonia W lately — more wins on the board than Iceland U23 W.
  • Estonia W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Estonia W Clean Sheet 16%
Iceland U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estonia W Iceland U23 W
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2022 Friendly International Women
Estonia W vs Iceland U23 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estonia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Iceland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Johannesdottir S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Petursdottir D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estonia W 66 / 100
Iceland U23 W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estonia W Iceland U23 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estonia W scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Iceland U23 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 9 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Estonia W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estonia W VS Iceland U23 W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%