Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estoril Praia W vs Valadares Gaia W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Lakip J.
Assist: Ventura E.
65'
Sub
Perruca L. In: Nogueira B.
Out: Perruca L.
65'
Sub
Besugo N. In: Parkinson E.
Out: Besugo N.

AI Match Summary

Valadares Gaia W in this Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valadares Gaia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Estoril Praia W
44%
Draws
20%
Valadares Gaia W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Valadares Gaia W have won more games recently than Estoril Praia W.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valadares Gaia W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Estoril Praia W Clean Sheet 14%
Valadares Gaia W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril Praia W Valadares Gaia W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0 2.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Estoril Praia W
6:2
Feb 15, 2025 Taça de Portugal Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Estoril Praia W
1:0
Jan 5, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Estoril Praia W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:1
Mar 27, 2022 Liga BPI Women
Estoril Praia W vs Valadares Gaia W
0:1
Dec 11, 2021 Liga BPI Women
Valadares Gaia W vs Estoril Praia W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estoril Praia W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Valadares Gaia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakip J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril Praia W 35 / 100
Valadares Gaia W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril Praia W Valadares Gaia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril Praia W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Valadares Gaia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Estoril Praia W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valadares Gaia W
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril Praia W

(Home)
11 May
Valadares Gaia W
6 : 2
Estoril Praia W
04 May
Estoril Praia W
0 : 0
Racing Power W
12 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Estoril Praia W
30 Mar
Estoril Praia W
2 : 0
Vilaverdense W
15 Mar
Famalicao W
2 : 2
Estoril Praia W
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Valadares Gaia W

(Away)
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
02 May
Valadares Gaia W
0 : 1
Rio Ave W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
03 Apr
Vitoria Guimaraes W
1 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
28 Mar
Torreense W
1 : 0
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SL Benfica W22202065:1062
2Sporting W22173266:954
3Braga W22133651:1742
4Torreense W22132746:2241
5Valadares Gaia W22122844:2438
6Racing Power W2297635:2334
7Maritimo W22931028:2630
8Damaiense W22821222:2926
9Famalicao W22721332:5423
10Estoril Praia W22541328:4919
11Albergaria/Durit W22321713:6011
12Vilaverdense W2200224:1110
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League Women 2025/2026 (Qualification - First stage)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)