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Estoril U19 vs Vilafranquense U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 game between Estoril U19 and Vilafranquense U19 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estoril U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Estoril U19
15%
Draws
0%
Vilafranquense U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estoril U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Estoril U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Estoril U19 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Estoril U19 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Estoril U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Vilafranquense U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril U19 Vilafranquense U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.06 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Vilafranquense U19
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vilafranquense U19 vs Estoril U19
0:1
Jan 8, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Vilafranquense U19
5:0
Oct 2, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vilafranquense U19 vs Estoril U19
0:4
Jun 19, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Vilafranquense U19
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril U19 75 / 100
Vilafranquense U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril U19 Vilafranquense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estoril U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vilafranquense U19 conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Vilafranquense U19 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Estoril U19 found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Estoril U19 VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril U19

(Home)
25 May
Beira Mar U19
2 : 0
Estoril U19
18 May
Estoril U19
2 : 3
Belenenses U19
11 May
Alverca U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
04 May
Estoril U19
0 : 2
SC Lusitania U19
27 Apr
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
Page 1 of 7

Vilafranquense U19

(Away)
27 May
Vilafranquense U19
0 : 4
Belenenses U19
20 May
Torreense U19
1 : 0
Vilafranquense U19
13 May
Vilafranquense U19
0 : 1
Academica U19
06 May
Nacional U19
1 : 0
Vilafranquense U19
29 Apr
Vilafranquense U19
1 : 3
Maritimo U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 22 12 7 3 42:23 43
2 Vizela U19 22 12 6 4 51:32 42
3 Famalicao U19 22 11 8 3 38:22 41
4 Braga U19 22 11 6 5 38:28 39
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 22 11 5 6 43:37 38
6 Gil Vicente U19 22 9 4 9 42:38 31
7 Pacos Ferreira U19 22 8 6 8 41:45 30
8 Gondomar U19 22 9 2 11 29:38 29
9 Boavista U19 22 8 4 10 27:31 28
10 Rio Ave U19 22 7 5 10 22:28 26
11 Tondela U19 22 3 5 14 17:37 14
12 Anadia U19 22 0 4 18 23:54 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 22 15 3 4 69:29 48
2 Sporting CP U19 22 14 5 3 40:16 47
3 Alverca U19 22 12 6 4 43:36 42
4 Estoril U19 22 10 5 7 28:35 35
5 Academica U19 22 10 5 7 32:29 35
6 Belenenses U19 22 9 7 6 32:23 34
7 Torreense U19 22 8 4 10 31:34 28
8 Maritimo U19 22 5 7 10 19:33 22
9 Casa Pia U19 22 6 3 13 22:46 21
10 Nacional U19 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Vitoria Setubal U19 22 5 5 12 28:36 20
12 Vilafranquense U19 22 3 5 14 19:33 14
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)