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Estoril vs Alverca

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alverca in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Estoril
30%
Draws
58%
Alverca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alverca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Alverca have won more games recently than Estoril.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Alverca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Estoril Clean Sheet 20%
Alverca Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril Alverca
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Club Friendly
Alverca vs Estoril
2:0
May 10, 2026 Liga Portugal
Alverca vs Estoril
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Alverca
4:1
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Estoril vs Alverca
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril 28 / 100
Alverca 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril Alverca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Estoril found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Estoril has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estoril VS Alverca
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril

(Home)
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0
Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1
Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
16 Aug
Nacional
2 : 0
Estoril
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Alverca

(Away)
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3
Alverca
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2
Braga
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1
Santa Clara
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Alverca
15 Aug
Alverca
2 : 2
Estrela da Amadora
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