Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Tsoungui A.
45'
45'
Ferro
46'
46'
Sub
Tsoungui A. In: Arnolin J.
Out: Tsoungui A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Estoril and Arouca finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arouca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arouca come out ahead of Estoril on wins alone.
- Model gives Arouca a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Estoril Clean Sheet 20%
Arouca Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estoril | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Arouca
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Estoril
3:2
Nov 7, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Arouca
4:3
Mar 16, 2025 Liga Portugal
Arouca vs Estoril
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Arouca
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estoril 12 / 100
Arouca 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estoril Arouca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arouca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Estoril's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Arouca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
Estoril has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Estoril VS Arouca
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Estoril
(Home) 14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0 Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0 Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
16 Aug
Nacional
2 : 0 Estoril
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0 Arouca
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
07 Aug
Estoril
1 : 1 Famalicao
25 Jul
Estoril
0 : 0 Torreense
11 Jul
Estoril
3 : 0 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 3
Arouca
(Away) 13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0 Arouca
29 Aug
Arouca
2 : 1 Maritimo
23 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0 Arouca
16 Aug
Arouca
4 : 0 Moreirense
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0 Arouca
23 Aug
FC Porto
2 : 0 Arouca
08 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 1 Arouca
01 Aug
Lusitania FC
0 : 2 Arouca
25 Jul
Santa Clara
3 : 0 Arouca
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Arouca | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela da Amadora | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14:12 | 10 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Maritimo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | 7 |
| 11 | Moreirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 17 | Estoril | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
