Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Esmoriz in this Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 tie, finishing 3-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esmoriz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Esmoriz have won more games recently than Estoril.
- Model gives Esmoriz a 73% chance of winning this.
- Esmoriz arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Esmoriz, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Estoril Clean Sheet 19%
Esmoriz Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estoril | Esmoriz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Estoril vs Esmoriz
3:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estoril 24 / 100
Esmoriz 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estoril Esmoriz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Esmoriz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Esmoriz let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.
Estoril found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Esmoriz lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Estoril VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Estoril
(Home) 14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0 Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0 Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
16 Aug
Nacional
2 : 0 Estoril
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0 Arouca
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2 Rio Ave
07 Aug
Estoril
1 : 1 Famalicao
25 Jul
Estoril
0 : 0 Torreense
11 Jul
Estoril
3 : 0 Atletico CP
Page 1 of 3
Esmoriz
(Away) 24 Sept
Esmoriz
0 : 1 Vilaverdense FC
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2 Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0 Esmoriz
23 Apr
Esmoriz
0 : 1 Boavista
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1 Esmoriz
Page 1 of 7
03 Sept
Tocha
1 : 2 Esmoriz
30 Apr
SC Pombal
1 : 0 Esmoriz
17 Apr
Anadia
0 : 1 Esmoriz
03 Apr
Tondela
3 : 0 Esmoriz
20 Mar
SC Espinho
2 : 0 Esmoriz
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chaves 3
Leca 0
Coimbroes 2
Uniao Da Serra 3
Academica 2
Portimonense 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Beira Mar 4
Nacional 2
Varzim 1
Vila Mea 0
Fatima 3
Tirsense 1
Oliv. Bairro 0
Aljustrelense 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Pinhalnovense 1
Sintrense 0
Operario 1
Oeiras 6
Vigor Mocidade 4
Cruzado Canicense 1
Paredes 1
Camacha 3
Aliados Lordelo 2
Machico 0
Casa Pia 1
Leixoes 2
Gil Vicente 6
Nelas 1
Padroense 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 2
Esmoriz 1
Maritimo 1
Santa Clara 2
Benfica 6
Monsanto 0
Feirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Freamunde 3
Carregado 0
Merelinense 1
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 2
Atletico CP 0
Covilha 0
Braga 1
Sporting CP 3
Penafiel 0
Cinfaes 1
Pescadores Caparica 2
U. Madeira 2
Alcains 0
Vieira 0
Mafra 1
BSAD 3
Oriental 1
Olhanense 1
Valenciano 2
Oliveirense 2
Tondela 1
Sertanense 0
FC Porto 4
1/16-finals
Chaves 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Academica 1
Beira Mar 2
Nacional 1
Fatima 0
Tirsense 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Oeiras 1
Vigor Mocidade 0
Camacha 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 0
Benfica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Freamunde 3
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Pescadores Caparica 1
U. Madeira 1
Mafra 2
BSAD 1
Valenciano 0
Oliveirense 0
FC Porto 2
1/8-finals
Chaves 1
Beira Mar 0
Nacional 1
Pacos Ferreira 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Camacha 0
Aliados Lordelo 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Freamunde 1
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Mafra 3
BSAD 2
FC Porto 3
Quarter-finals
Chaves 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Sporting CP 2
FC Porto 5
Semi-finals
Chaves 3
Naval 1
Rio Ave 1
FC Porto 7
Final
Chaves 1
FC Porto 2
