Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estoril vs Maritimo

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Estoril and Maritimo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maritimo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Estoril
20%
Draws
38%
Maritimo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estoril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Maritimo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estoril's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Estoril Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril Maritimo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Estoril vs Maritimo
2:3
May 27, 2023 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Maritimo
3:1
Jan 22, 2023 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Estoril
1:0
Feb 5, 2022 Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Estoril
0:0
Aug 27, 2021 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Maritimo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril 42 / 100
Maritimo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril Maritimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estoril scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Estoril went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maritimo let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Estoril VS Maritimo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril

(Home)
31 Jul
CF Os Belenenses
1 : 1
Estoril
25 Jul
Estoril
0 : 0
Torreense
22 Jul
Alverca
2 : 0
Estoril
11 Jul
Estoril
3 : 0
Atletico CP
16 May
Estoril
1 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo

(Away)
01 Aug
Maritimo
1 : 0
Nacional
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1
Estrela Calheta
25 Jul
Maritimo
0 : 0
Machico
22 Jul
Maritimo
2 : 0
Camacha
17 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 5
Leixoes
Page 1 of 6