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Estoril vs Millwall

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ivanovic M.
34' Event
Coburn J.
41' Event
Coburn J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Estoril and Millwall finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Millwall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Estoril
39%
Draws
31%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Millwall come out ahead of Estoril on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Estoril Clean Sheet 68%
Millwall Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril Millwall
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Estoril vs Millwall
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estoril Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Millwall Compare

Top Goalscorer Coburn J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril 41 / 100
Millwall 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Millwall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Estoril has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estoril VS Millwall
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril

(Home)
25 Jul
Estoril
0 : 0
Torreense
22 Jul
Alverca
2 : 0
Estoril
11 Jul
Estoril
3 : 0
Atletico CP
16 May
Estoril
1 : 3
Benfica
10 May
Alverca
1 : 1
Estoril
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Millwall

(Away)
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1
Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
14 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 1
Millwall
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