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Estoril vs Millwall

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ivanovic M.
34' Event
Coburn J.
41' Event
Coburn J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Estoril and Millwall finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Millwall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Estoril
30%
Draws
58%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Millwall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Millwall come out ahead of Estoril on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Estoril Clean Sheet 16%
Millwall Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril Millwall
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Estoril vs Millwall
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estoril Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Millwall Compare

Top Goalscorer Coburn J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ivanovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril 31 / 100
Millwall 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Millwall Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estoril scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Millwall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Estoril has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estoril VS Millwall
0.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril

(Home)
14 Sept
Braga
1 : 0
Estoril
07 Sept
Estoril
0 : 0
Arouca
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1
Estoril
22 Aug
Estoril
0 : 2
Rio Ave
16 Aug
Nacional
2 : 0
Estoril
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Millwall

(Away)
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
Middlesbrough
2 : 2
Millwall
12 Sept
Blackburn
3 : 1
Millwall
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
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