Sport Picks

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Estoril vs Rio Ave

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estoril host Rio Ave in the Liga Portugal. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Estoril at 0.75 goals for, 1.13 against; Rio Ave at 1.38 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Estoril have won 2 to Rio Ave's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.13 - 1.25) back Estoril to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Estoril
17%
Draws
70%
Rio Ave
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rio Ave

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Rio Ave haven't matched Estoril's recent run of results.
  • Rio Ave are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Estoril Clean Sheet 19%
Rio Ave Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estoril Rio Ave
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Rio Ave
1:2
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Estoril
0:4
Feb 22, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estoril vs Rio Ave
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Estoril
2:2
Jan 31, 2024 Liga Portugal
Rio Ave vs Estoril
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estoril 16 / 100
Rio Ave 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estoril Rio Ave

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rio Ave conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Estoril found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Estoril remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estoril VS Rio Ave
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estoril

(Home)
25 Jul
Estoril
0 : 0
Torreense
22 Jul
Alverca
2 : 0
Estoril
11 Jul
Estoril
3 : 0
Atletico CP
16 May
Estoril
1 : 3
Benfica
10 May
Alverca
1 : 1
Estoril
Page 1 of 6

Rio Ave

(Away)
23 Jul
Rio Ave
5 : 2
Nottingham 2
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Portimonense
0 : 3
Rio Ave
11 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 1
Arouca
16 May
Casa Pia
1 : 1
Rio Ave
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estrela da Amadora00000:00
2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:00
3Estoril00000:00
4Gil Vicente00000:00
5Rio Ave00000:00
6Santa Clara00000:00
7Moreirense00000:00
8FC Porto00000:00
9Sporting CP00000:00
10Benfica00000:00
11Maritimo00000:00
12Braga00000:00
13Nacional00000:00
14Arouca00000:00
15Casa Pia00000:00
16Academico Viseu00000:00
17Alverca00000:00
18Famalicao00000:00
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)