Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Estradense and Atios finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estradense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estradense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atios haven't matched Estradense's recent run of results.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Estradense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Estradense Clean Sheet 68%
Atios Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estradense | Atios |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Atios
2:1
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atios vs Estradense
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estradense 95 / 100
Atios 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estradense Atios
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Estradense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estradense found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (37 games).
Atios let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Estradense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Estradense VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Estradense
(Home) 20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1 Montaneros
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1 Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3 Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2 Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0 Arzua
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1 Montaneros
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3 Sarriana
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0 Arzua
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5 Pontevedra
16 May
Estradense
0 : 1 Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 4
Atios
(Away) 20 Jun
Agrupacion Estudiantil
3 : 1 Atios
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4 CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2 Atios
30 May
Atios
0 : 1 Paiosaco
23 May
Arzua
4 : 0 Atios
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Agrupacion Estudiantil
3 : 1 Atios
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2 Atios
23 May
Arzua
4 : 0 Atios
02 May
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1 Atios
18 Apr
Paiosaco
3 : 2 Atios
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bergantinos | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 37:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Lugo B | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 34:17 | 42 |
| 3 | Somozas | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41:21 | 41 |
| 4 | Racing Club Villalbes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 34:26 | 40 |
| 5 | Deportivo Fabril | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 41:27 | 32 |
| 6 | Silva SD | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 21:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Arzua | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Viveiro | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 25:39 | 28 |
| 9 | Agrupacion Estudiantil | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27:45 | 20 |
| 10 | CD AS Pontes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18:40 | 19 |
| 11 | Fisterra | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 22:35 | 17 |
| 12 | Paiosaco | 22 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 16:39 | 12 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arenteiro | 22 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 33:13 | 47 |
| 2 | Arosa SC | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 27:14 | 41 |
| 3 | Alondras | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:15 | 37 |
| 4 | Estradense | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35:34 | 31 |
| 5 | CD Choco | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 28:22 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapido de Bouzas | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 25:25 | 31 |
| 7 | Barco | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 26:27 | 30 |
| 8 | Ourense CF | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 33:29 | 28 |
| 9 | Ribadumia | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 26 |
| 10 | UD Ourense | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25:32 | 25 |
| 11 | Atios | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:32 | 20 |
| 12 | Pontellas | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 12:38 | 9 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
