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Estradense vs Barbadas-Bentraces

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mella M.
31' Event
Porrua P.
39' Event
Vidal B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Estradense and Barbadas-Bentraces finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estradense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Estradense
20%
Draws
22%
Barbadas-Bentraces
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estradense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estradense come out ahead of Barbadas-Bentraces on wins alone.
  • Model gives Estradense a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Estradense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Estradense Clean Sheet 20%
Barbadas-Bentraces Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estradense Barbadas-Bentraces
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.53 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Barbadas-Bentraces
3:2
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Estradense
0:4
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Estradense
0:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Barbadas-Bentraces
4:2
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Estradense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mella M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Porrua P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Barbadas-Bentraces Compare

Top Goalscorer Corzo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estradense 85 / 100
Barbadas-Bentraces 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estradense Barbadas-Bentraces

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estradense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estradense scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Barbadas-Bentraces's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Estradense stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estradense VS Barbadas-Bentraces
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Estradense

(Home)
20 Sept
Estradense
3 : 1
Montaneros
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
Page 1 of 6

Barbadas-Bentraces

(Away)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)