Sport Picks
Estradense vs Gran Pena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Estradense host Gran Pena in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Estradense have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Gran Pena's 1.83 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Estradense have won 2 to Gran Pena's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.50) point toward Estradense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Estradense lately — more wins on the board than Gran Pena.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Estradense taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estradense | Gran Pena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estradense's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Gran Pena let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Estradense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Estradense
(Home)Gran Pena
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Boiro | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 2 | Barco | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Sarriana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15:12 | 15 |
| 4 | Lalin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Racing Club Villalbes | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Estradense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Silva SD | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 14 |
| 8 | Pontevedra B | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Atletico Arteixo | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 10 | Antela | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 11 | Portonovo SD | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Alondras | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 13 | Arenteiro | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Celtiga | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 15 | Montaneros | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 16 | Somozas | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 17 | Gran Pena | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Viveiro | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:12 | 5 |