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Estradense vs Gran Pena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estradense host Gran Pena in the Tercera RFEF - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Estradense have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Gran Pena's 1.83 scored and 1.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Estradense have won 2 to Gran Pena's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.50) point toward Estradense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Estradense
15%
Draws
20%
Gran Pena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estradense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Estradense lately — more wins on the board than Gran Pena.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Estradense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Estradense Clean Sheet 16%
Gran Pena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estradense Gran Pena
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Estradense
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Gran Pena
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Gran Pena
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Estradense
0:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Gran Pena vs Estradense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estradense 75 / 100
Gran Pena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estradense Gran Pena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estradense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estradense's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Gran Pena let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Estradense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estradense VS Gran Pena
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estradense

(Home)
01 Nov
Alondras
1 : 1
Estradense
25 Oct
Estradense
3 : 2
Viveiro
18 Oct
Silva SD
2 : 1
Estradense
11 Oct
Racing Club Villalbes
1 : 2
Estradense
04 Oct
Estradense
3 : 2
CD Boiro
Page 1 of 7

Gran Pena

(Away)
01 Nov
Gran Pena
0 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
25 Oct
CD Boiro
1 : 0
Gran Pena
18 Oct
Gran Pena
1 : 2
Celtiga
11 Oct
Montaneros
3 : 1
Gran Pena
04 Oct
Gran Pena
3 : 2
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Boiro 9 6 2 1 14:7 20
2 Barco 9 4 3 2 13:8 15
3 Sarriana 9 4 3 2 15:12 15
4 Lalin 9 4 3 2 9:8 15
5 Racing Club Villalbes 9 3 5 1 11:9 14
6 Estradense 9 4 2 3 15:15 14
7 Silva SD 9 4 2 3 13:13 14
8 Pontevedra B 9 4 1 4 13:9 13
9 Atletico Arteixo 9 3 4 2 15:14 13
10 Antela 9 3 4 2 8:8 13
11 Portonovo SD 9 3 3 3 11:10 12
12 Alondras 9 3 3 3 12:12 12
13 Arenteiro 9 3 1 5 12:13 10
14 Celtiga 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
15 Montaneros 9 3 0 6 12:19 9
16 Somozas 9 1 5 3 8:10 8
17 Gran Pena 9 2 1 6 10:15 7
18 Viveiro 9 1 2 6 5:12 5
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 (Play Offs)