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Estradense vs Naron

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011
Estradense Logo

Estradense

2 - 3
FT
Naron Logo

Naron

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 game between Estradense and Naron finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Estradense
30%
Draws
12%
Naron
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estradense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estradense come out ahead of Naron on wins alone.
  • Estradense are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Estradense Clean Sheet 20%
Naron Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estradense Naron
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.34 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Naron
2:3
Sep 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Naron vs Estradense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estradense 58 / 100
Naron 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estradense Naron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estradense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Estradense scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Naron let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Estradense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estradense VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Estradense

(Home)
12 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
1 : 1
Estradense
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
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Naron

(Away)
19 May
Rapido de Bouzas
4 : 1
Naron
12 May
Naron
3 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
05 May
Betanzos CF
2 : 1
Naron
28 Apr
Naron
1 : 3
Villalonga
21 Apr
Racing Club Ferrol
5 : 0
Naron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerceda 36 26 5 5 58:17 83
2 Racing Club Ferrol 36 22 7 7 79:29 73
3 CD Ourense 36 21 4 11 71:31 67
4 Racing Club Villalbes 36 17 12 7 39:25 63
5 Somozas 36 16 12 8 49:32 60
6 Alondras 36 14 13 9 47:38 55
7 SD Ordenes 36 15 10 11 42:44 55
8 SD Negreira 36 14 9 13 41:35 51
9 Villalonga 36 12 13 11 42:45 49
10 Rapido de Bouzas 36 13 5 18 43:51 44
11 CD AS Pontes 36 11 11 14 41:53 44
12 Estradense 36 11 11 14 37:41 44
13 Meson do Bento 36 7 19 10 36:48 40
14 Bergantinos 36 10 10 16 33:45 40
15 CD Cultural Areas 36 9 12 15 40:55 39
16 Pontevedra B 36 9 10 17 30:46 37
17 Santa Comba 36 8 11 17 30:52 35
18 Naron 36 8 7 21 33:56 31
19 Portonovo SD 36 5 7 24 23:71 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)