Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lagoa in this Taça de Portugal 2010/2011 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lagoa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lagoa lately — more wins on the board than Estrela Calheta.
- Win probability leans Lagoa's way, sitting at 90%.
- Lagoa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lagoa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Estrela Calheta Clean Sheet 17%
Lagoa Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Estrela Calheta | Lagoa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2010 Taça de Portugal
Estrela Calheta vs Lagoa
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Estrela Calheta 10 / 100
Lagoa 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Estrela Calheta Lagoa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lagoa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Lagoa conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Estrela Calheta found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (8 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Estrela Calheta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Estrela Calheta VS Lagoa
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Estrela Calheta
(Home) 29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1 Estrela Calheta
21 Sept
FC Alpendorada
7 : 1 Estrela Calheta
11 Sept
Aljustrelense
2 : 0 Estrela Calheta
28 Aug
Santana
0 : 1 Estrela Calheta
05 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 2 Lagoa
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05 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 2 Lagoa
26 Oct
Estrela Calheta
0 : 2 Pinhalnovense
04 Oct
Estrela Calheta
2 : 0 Infesta
Lagoa
(Away) 18 Apr
Lagoa
1 : 2 GD Alcochetense
12 Apr
Portimonense B
1 : 3 Lagoa
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2 Lagoa
22 Mar
Lagoa
0 : 0 Malveira
15 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 1 Lagoa
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12 Apr
Portimonense B
1 : 3 Lagoa
04 Apr
Oriental
0 : 2 Lagoa
15 Mar
Alverca B
2 : 1 Lagoa
01 Mar
O Elvas CAD
4 : 0 Lagoa
15 Feb
Juv. Evora
2 : 1 Lagoa
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 4
AD Limianos 1
Operario 0
Moreirense 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Santa Clara 0
Juv. Evora 1
Leixoes 3
Mafra 2
AD Pontassolense 1
SC Espinho 4
Tirsense 5
Sampedrense 1
AD Fafe 0
Pinhalnovense 3
Rio Ave 4
Estrela Vendas Novas 1
Anadia 1
Feirense 2
GD Tourizense 2
Aliados Lordelo 1
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Sertanense 0
Padroense 2
Nacional 4
Braga 2
1º Dezembro 1
Arouca 1
Benfica 5
Academica 2
FC Cesarense 1
SC Mirandela 1
Beira Mar 2
Bombarralense 0
Louletano 0
Leiria 1
U. Madeira 2
Sporting CP 2
Estoril 1
Sao Joao de Ver 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Maritimo 2
Naval 0
Gil Vicente 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
SC Farense 1
Fatima 0
Carregado 1
Ribeirao 2
BSAD 0
Gondomar 0
Varzim 1
Torreense 1
Lagoa 0
Coimbroes 1
Mondinense 2
Portimonense 2
Cinfaes 0
Malveira 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 1
Moreirense 0
Santa Maria FC 0
Juv. Evora 3
Leixoes 2
SC Espinho 1
Tirsense 0
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 3
Feirense 0
GD Tourizense 2
Atletico CP 3
Olhanense 1
Nacional 0
Braga 0
Benfica 2
Academica 2
Beira Mar 0
Bombarralense -
U. Madeira -
Sporting CP 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Maritimo 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Carregado 0
Ribeirao 3
Varzim 4
Torreense 2
Mondinense 1
Portimonense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Juv. Evora 0
Leixoes 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Rio Ave 4
Atletico CP 1
Olhanense 0
Benfica 5
Academica 3
U. Madeira 1
Sporting CP 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 2
Varzim 1
Torreense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 2
Pinhalnovense 0
Rio Ave 0
Benfica 2
Academica 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Merelinense 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Benfica 3
Academica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Final
FC Porto 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
