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Estrela Calheta vs SC Vianense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Nsonga L.
55' Event
Carvalho T.
67' Event
Reko

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Estrela Calheta
30%
Draws
58%
SC Vianense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Vianense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Vianense come out ahead of Estrela Calheta on wins alone.
  • SC Vianense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • SC Vianense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SC Vianense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Estrela Calheta Clean Sheet 15%
SC Vianense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela Calheta SC Vianense
Matches Played 13 30
Wins 2 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.69 2.07
Goals Conceded 2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Taça de Portugal
Estrela Calheta vs SC Vianense
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela Calheta Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvalho T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

SC Vianense Compare

Top Goalscorer Nsonga L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reko
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela Calheta 10 / 100
SC Vianense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela Calheta SC Vianense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Vianense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

SC Vianense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Estrela Calheta scored in 54% of their last 13 games.

Estrela Calheta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estrela Calheta VS SC Vianense
0.57 Goals Scored 1.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrela Calheta

(Home)
04 Oct
Castro Daire
3 : 0
Estrela Calheta
27 Sept
Estrela Calheta
2 : 2
Cinfaes
20 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 3
SC Vianense
13 Sept
Estrela Calheta
0 : 3
UD Ovarense
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0
Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 3

SC Vianense

(Away)
20 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 3
SC Vianense
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2
SC Vianense
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2
Pacos Ferreira
30 Aug
SC Vianense
8 : 0
Minas de Argozelo
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Salgueiros 2
Sousense 1
TBD -
Feirense -
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TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 8
Fayal 0
C.F. Benfica 3
Viana Alentejo 0
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Maritimo -
Imortal -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Ermesinde 1
Paredes 3
Maria de Fonte 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Famalicao -
Beira Mar 4
Uniao Lamas 3
Lusitano GC 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Fazendense 1
Mocarriense 0
TBD -
Figueirense -
TBD -
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Estrela da Amadora -
Malveira 2
Mafra 3
TBD -
Tirsense -
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Santa Clara -
Santarem -
TBD -
Merelinense 2
Atletico Arcos 0
TBD -
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Gil Vicente -
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
TBD -
AFS -
TBD -
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TBD -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Portalegrense 0
Santo Antonio 3
TBD -
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Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 3
Pacos de Brandao 0
TBD -
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Nacional -
Rebordosa 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 5
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
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Casa Pia -
Serpa 2
Grandolense 0
Castrense 0
Louletano 1
TBD -
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Rio Ave -
Fatima 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vinhais -
TBD -
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Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 5
SC Angrense 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Regua 0
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 1
Vila Mea 0
1º Dezembro 0
Real SC 1
TBD -
Academica -
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
Amarante FC -
O Elvas CAD 9
Sao Roque 0
TBD -
Leiria -
Rebordelo 0
GD Braganca 4
Celoricense 1
Pevidem 0
Montijo 0
Atletico CP 4
TBD -
Lagoa -
Bombarralense -
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Vizela -
Ac. Fundao 0
Guarda FC 6
TBD -
Chaves -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 0
Os Marialvas 4
Estrela Calheta -
TBD -
SC Vianense 8
Minas de Argozelo 0
Cinfaes 1
SC Espinho 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Oliveirense 4
Penalva do Castelo 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
Covilha 0
Mortagua FC 1
TBD -
Leca -
Nogueirense 1
Naval 1893 3
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
Pacos Ferreira 0
AD Fafe 1
TBD -
Lajense -
Olhanense -
TBD -
Messejanense 0
Portel 8
Oliveira Hospital 1
GD Sourense 0
Uniao Montemor 1
Juv. Evora 4
SC Barreiro 2
FC Madalena 5
TBD -
Lusitania FC -
Correlha 1
AD Limianos 4
Ferreiras 0
Aljustrelense 3
Alcains 1
Sertanense 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Amora -
TBD -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Uniao de Pombal 0
Machico 2
Camacha 3
Florgrade 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Castro Daire -
TBD -
TBD -
Portimonense -
Vila Pouca -
TBD -
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Brito -
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
Varzim 5
Trofense 1
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1/64-finals
SC Salgueiros 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 2
C.F. Benfica 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Imortal 1
Tondela 5
TBD -
Alverca -
Paredes 5
Maria de Fonte 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Beira Mar 0
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Fazendense 6
Figueirense 1
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra 3
Tirsense 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Santarem 5
Merelinense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Sintrense 0
AFS 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas 4
Santo Antonio 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 4
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Serpa 1
Louletano 2
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Fatima 4
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 0
SC Farense 1
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 0
Real SC 1
Academica 4
Ponte da Barca 0
Amarante FC 2
O Elvas CAD 0
Leiria 2
GD Braganca 6
Celoricense 1
Atletico CP 4
Lagoa 1
Bombarralense 0
Vizela 1
Guarda FC 2
Chaves 3
UD Ovarense 0
Os Marialvas 1
Estrela Calheta 1
SC Vianense 3
Cinfaes 0
Leixoes 4
Oliveirense 1
Penafiel 2
Mortagua FC 0
Leca 2
Naval 1893 0
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Fafe 4
Lajense 0
Olhanense 1
Portel 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Juv. Evora 2
FC Madalena 1
Lusitania FC 3
AD Limianos 3
Aljustrelense 0
Alcains 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Amora 3
Uniao Da Serra 4
Camacha 0
Florgrade 1
Castro Daire 0
Portimonense 1
Vila Pouca 0
Brito 5
Vitoria Sernache 2
Varzim 1
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1/32-finals
SC Salgueiros -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense -
Maritimo -
Tondela -
Alverca -
Paredes -
Famalicao -
CF Os Belenenses -
Arouca -
Fazendense -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra -
Santa Clara -
Santarem -
Gil Vicente -
AFS -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Sanjoanense -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada -
Casa Pia -
Louletano -
Rio Ave -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
SC Farense -
AD Marco 09 -
Academica -
Amarante FC -
Leiria -
GD Braganca -
Atletico CP -
Vizela -
Chaves -
Os Marialvas -
SC Vianense -
Leixoes -
Penafiel -
Leca -
FC Felgueiras -
AD Fafe -
Olhanense -
Oliveira Hospital -
Lusitania FC -
AD Limianos -
Vitoria Setubal -
Uniao Da Serra -
Florgrade -
Portimonense -
Brito -
Vitoria Sernache -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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