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Estrela da Amadora B vs FC Barreirense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Santana C.
90' Event
Santana C.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between Estrela da Amadora B and FC Barreirense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela da Amadora B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Estrela da Amadora B
44%
Draws
20%
FC Barreirense
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estrela da Amadora B come out ahead of FC Barreirense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Estrela da Amadora B Clean Sheet 16%
FC Barreirense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora B FC Barreirense
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
FC Barreirense vs Estrela da Amadora B
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Estrela da Amadora B vs FC Barreirense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora B Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Barreirense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora B 36 / 100
FC Barreirense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora B FC Barreirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Barreirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Estrela da Amadora B scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Estrela da Amadora B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora B VS FC Barreirense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lusitano GC26184457:1458
2Amora26176341:1957
3Sintrense26164639:2652
4Moncarapachense26156539:1951
5Louletano26155644:2050
6Serpa26136742:2745
7Estrela da Amadora B26791035:3130
8Lagoa26791026:3530
9Industria26851335:4229
10Fabril do Barreiro26691121:3227
11Moura AC26751427:5026
12Operario26651522:4323
13FC Barreirense26571431:4722
14Estrela Vendas Novas26122312:665