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Estrela da Amadora U23 vs SC Farense U23

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Meneses do Vale J. P.
60' Event
Poniewas H.
75' Event
Macedo F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Revelacao U23 game between Estrela da Amadora U23 and SC Farense U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrela da Amadora U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Estrela da Amadora U23
28%
Draws
50%
SC Farense U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SC Farense U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Farense U23 come out ahead of Estrela da Amadora U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives SC Farense U23 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Revelacao U23 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Estrela da Amadora U23 Clean Sheet 24%
SC Farense U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrela da Amadora U23 SC Farense U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 8 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Liga Revelacao U23
SC Farense U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
1:0
Jan 28, 2026 Liga Revelacao U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs SC Farense U23
2:1
Nov 19, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
SC Farense U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
4:0
Oct 21, 2025 Liga Revelacao U23
Estrela da Amadora U23 vs SC Farense U23
0:2
Nov 6, 2024 Liga Revelacao U23
SC Farense U23 vs Estrela da Amadora U23
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrela da Amadora U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Meneses do Vale J. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poniewas H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

SC Farense U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Macedo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrela da Amadora U23 25 / 100
SC Farense U23 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrela da Amadora U23 SC Farense U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela da Amadora U23 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

SC Farense U23 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Estrela da Amadora U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrela da Amadora U23 VS SC Farense U23
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gil Vicente U2316121335:2137
2Rio Ave U2316110525:1633
3SC Farense U231683522:1727
4Estoril U231674521:1825
5Estrela da Amadora U231654718:1619
6Leiria U231653824:2618
7Vizela U231653820:3118
8Maritimo U231652917:2517
9Portimonense U2316321121:3311